Market Stats
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SETTLED 2026-07-14Verified ✓

Where will BTC settle on 2026-07-14?

Market said 69% BTC $61,557–$64,070 · ×1.4 ($100 → $144)

at market open

BTC $61,557–$64,070Wonwas 69%
market said 69% · ×1.4 paidtotal traded $9.5K
BTC above $64,070Lostwas 10%
market said 10%total traded $419
BTC below $61,557Lostwas 10%
market said 10%total traded $2.2K

Bars show market odds before settlement (at market open)

Implied probability trajectory (3 outcomes)0%25%50%75%100%Jul 13Jul 13Jul 14100%3%1%
  • BTC $61,557–$64,070100%
  • BTC below $61,5573%
  • BTC above $64,0701%

Total traded $12.1K since open · 24h $0 · data since 2026-07-14

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Settlement results are inferred from each market’s final implied probability (converging to 0 or 1), cross-checked against the underlying asset price at expiry where possible. Items marked "under review" await manual confirmation.

What do these numbers mean?

Each percentage is the YES-book price of a HIP-4 outcome market on Hyperliquid — the market's implied probability, not our forecast. Prices range 0.001–0.999.

We record hourly snapshots because Hyperliquid's public API keeps no history and drops settled markets entirely. Volume and trade counts sit beside every probability so you can judge how much conviction backs a number — thin markets move easily.

Notional volume is approximated as size × YES price (NO-book volume is not summed) and is cumulative traded since the market opened— Hyperliquid's public API does not publish open interest or deposits for HIP-4 markets. Payout multiples (e.g. ×2.6) and $100→$X illustrations are gross, before Hyperliquid trading fees. Informational only — not investment advice.

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Where will BTC settle on 2026-07-14?: What the Market Said — Settlement Record