SETTLED 2026-07-13

Where will BTC settle on 2026-07-13?

Market said 80% → ✓ BTC $62,685–$65,244 · ×1.3 ($100 → $125)

at market open

✓ BTC $62,685–$65,244Wonwas 80%

market said 80% · ×1.3 paidtotal traded $18.6K

✗ BTC below $62,685Lostwas 49%

market said 49%total traded $2.7K

✗ BTC above $65,244Lostwas 6%

market said 6%total traded $312

Bars show market odds before settlement (at market open)

BTC $62,685–$65,24461%
BTC below $62,68529%
BTC above $65,24410%

Total traded $21.6K since open · 24h $0 · data since 2026-07-12

trending_up

Trade on Hyperliquid

4% fee discount · Zero gas fees

Trade →

Settlement results are inferred from each market’s final implied probability (converging to 0 or 1), cross-checked against the underlying asset price at expiry where possible. Items marked "under review" await manual confirmation.

What do these numbers mean?▾

Each percentage is the YES-book price of a HIP-4 outcome market on Hyperliquid — the market's implied probability, not our forecast. Prices range 0.001–0.999.

We record hourly snapshots because Hyperliquid's public API keeps no history and drops settled markets entirely. Volume and trade counts sit beside every probability so you can judge how much conviction backs a number — thin markets move easily.

Notional volume is approximated as size × YES price (NO-book volume is not summed) and is cumulative traded since the market opened— Hyperliquid's public API does not publish open interest or deposits for HIP-4 markets. Payout multiples (e.g. ×2.6) and $100→$X illustrations are gross, before Hyperliquid trading fees. Informational only — not investment advice.