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template:policyRateDecision

template:policyRateNoChange83%×1.2

$100 → $120 if correcttotal traded $325 · $0.83

template:policyRateIncrease46%×2.2

$100 → $216 if correcttotal traded $112 · $0.46

template:policyRateDecrease1%×91

$100 → $9091 if correcttotal traded $1 · $0.01

template:policyRateNoChange83%
template:policyRateIncrease46%
template:policyRateDecrease1%

Total traded $439 since open · 24h $439 · data since 2026-08-29

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Settlement results are inferred from each market’s final implied probability (converging to 0 or 1), cross-checked against the underlying asset price at expiry where possible. Items marked "under review" await manual confirmation.

What do these numbers mean?▾

Each percentage is the YES-book price of a HIP-4 outcome market on Hyperliquid — the market's implied probability, not our forecast. Prices range 0.001–0.999.

We record hourly snapshots because Hyperliquid's public API keeps no history and drops settled markets entirely. Volume and trade counts sit beside every probability so you can judge how much conviction backs a number — thin markets move easily.

Notional volume is approximated as size × YES price (NO-book volume is not summed) and is cumulative traded since the market opened— Hyperliquid's public API does not publish open interest or deposits for HIP-4 markets. Payout multiples (e.g. ×2.6) and $100→$X illustrations are gross, before Hyperliquid trading fees. Informational only — not investment advice.